Lykken on Lending

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 05-20-2024 Countries In Recession Won't Be "Lonely Boy"-------------------------Any old report keeps us waiting. Waiting, waiting. Powell’s a Lonely Boy, He’s a Lonely Boy. Oh, Powell, you are the love that keeps us waiting. The latest tame inflation dropped rates. Many expected a strong report that would have pushed … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 05-13-2024 "High Hopes" Or Decay For the Long Haul-----------------------At a higher altitude, QT unfurled. Bulls reached the High Hopes of that dreamed-of world. Steps taken forward, Bears sleepwalking back again. Dragged by the force of Fed Powell’s higher-for-longer tide. The perpetual auctions continue to find … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 05-06-2024 Bad Data is "Criminal"---------------------The data hustle, they’re no good at all. Moves like a loser, they are mixed, up, down, done. Dripping Oil, softening Gold, and cooling Copper lifted the short-end’s hope that the Fed will ease this year. Friday’s Jobs report helped. Additionally, the Fed’s … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 04-29-2024 The Bears Ask, "Have You Ever Seen The Rain?" ----------------------------- Parker told us long ago There's a calm before the stormHe knows Last week, stagflation appeared in the GDP data, with slowing growth and rising inflation.  As a result, the 10-year yield hit our bear target of 4.71.Jimmy … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 04-22-2024 Rattle Rates and Do "The Twist" ---------------------------- Come on, Jay Powell. Let's do the twist.Come on, Yellen. Let's do the twist. Data continue to confound the Fed and Treasury. Easy money and free-spending lead to the pain of persistent inflation. Now, tight money constraints growth and hastens … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 04.08.2024 Rates and the Sun Are Having a "Total Eclipse of the Heart"----------------------------(Turn around, Bear lines)Every now and then rates fall apart(Turn around, Bear lines) The US faces a sign in the shadow. Sharp rates, strong jobs, stubborn inflation, Surging Gold, Scorching Oil, and a solid Dollar collide … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 4.3.24 "We Will Rock You" It's Another Gold BRIC in the Wall ------------------------ BRICS want a race. Chasing Bucks Can all over the place, //  Queen only //singin'. We will, we will rock you. We will, we will rock you. Gold hit record highs as China and other BRICS continued their buying spree. So, why … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 03.25.24 "Times Like These" Make You Look At Your Options---------------------Jay’s on a one-way motorway He’s an ease that drives away, then loosens sales back home. The Fed remains on the road to reducing monetary constraints, whether through lower rates or fewer sales of Treasuries. What bites harder, a recession, … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 3.18.24 Inflation Has the "Folsom Prison Blues" ---------------------Hello, I’m Jerome Cash I hear inflation comin', it's rolling round the bend.And I ain't seen it tumblin’ since I don't know when.I’m stuck in Biden’s Prison, inflation draggin' on. Biden pushes on demand with old-fashioned Democrat economic policies … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 3-11-24 "We Will Rock You" It's Another Gold BRIC in the Wall------------------------BRICS want a race. Chasing Bucks Can all over the place, // Queen only //singin'. We will, we will rock you. We will, we will rock you. Gold hit record highs as China and other BRICS continued their buying spree. So, why hoard Gold? … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 3.04.24 The War Between Bulls and Bears Brings So Many "Questions"---------------------Why do Bears never get an answer when they're knocking at the door? Because the truth is hard to swallow, that's what the balance war is for. Embrace the balanced war between Bulls and Bears and prepare for a breakthrough. Recent … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 2.26.24 Bears May Find "Trouble Every Day"---------------------------------Well, CASH about to get UPSET From watchin' Jay’s DELAY. He’s checkin' out / the news Until his eyeballs fail to see. On January 31, during Jay Powell's press conference, he said that the committee would begin to explore slowing sales of its … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 2.19.24 China on Population, "Take It Easy"----------------------------Well, we’re buying down the locks. Trying to loosen our loans. Got a world of guidelines on our minds. Let’s look long-term. China’s fertility rate is among the lowest globally. It fell below its replacement rate in 1991. As a result, its population … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 2.12.24 Fed Gives Bears "Just What I (They) Needed" -------------------------- I don't mind correcting here, waiting all the time.Bonds are waiting for the Fed to see inflation crashing down.  Massive US debt supports global bank reserves but weakens long-term economic health.Additionally, the decline in the Fed's … [Read more...]

Show notes: TMSpotlight: 2.05.24 When Does A "Zombie" Stop Fighting?------------------------Another model's breakingHard to take it over. The Fed is finished raising rates, yet the fight between the Bond market and the Federal Reserve continues. Bonds see data showing slumping inflation and sagging growth, while the Fed sees firm Jobs and solid … [Read more...]