Show notes: TMSpotlight: 07-22-2024 Bulls Say "Welcome to Paradise" --------------------- Dear Powell, Can you hear Jobs whining? It's been three whole years since inflation felt your hold. Despite declining volatility, the new bullish trend remains solid. News continues to affirm that two rate cuts make long-term rates happier … [Read more...]
“Espresso” Brewing Liquidity Issues – TMSpotlight by Les Parker
07-15-2024 "Espresso" Brewing Liquidity Issues ------------------------ The markets movin’ in a tight range. Isn’t that sweet? Try not to sleep. Don’t you need Espresso? Some news gives you a jolt. Then you see the screen blink red and green because it's speculating about nothing. No easing, high inflation. High easing, no growth. No … [Read more...]
FHA 203K Reforms and Market Shifts, Hidden costs of Homeownership and Other Industry Updates!
Show notes: TMSpotlight: 07-15-2024 "Espresso" ------------------------The markets movin’ in a tight range. Isn’t that sweet? Try not to sleep. Don’t you need Espresso? Some news gives you a jolt. Then you see the screen blink red and green because it's speculating about nothing. No easing, high inflation. High easing, no growth. No liquidity. … [Read more...]
Liquidity is running dry, “It’s So Lonesome it Could Cry.” – TMSpotlight by Les Parker
07-08-2024 Liquidity is running dry, "It’s So Lonesome it Could Cry." --------------------- Hear that lonesome Repo well. It sounds too low to fly. Last week, the implied likelihood of a September Fed rate cut rose to 73%. Over a week ago, it was 62%. Bonds cry for a “higher for longer” Fed. But the fall of the dollar and the steadfastness … [Read more...]
July Market Dynamics: Fed Rate cut, Chevron Ruling, Data Breaches and the Role of AI in Mortgages and Other Industry Updates!
Show notes: TMSpotlight: 7.08.24 Liquidity is running dry, "It’s So Lonesome it Could Cry."---------------------Hear that lonesome Repo well. It sounds too low to fly. Last week, the implied likelihood of a September Fed rate cut rose to 73%. Over a week ago, it was 62%. Bonds cry for a “higher for longer” Fed. But the fall of the dollar and … [Read more...]
Affordability Remains an Obstacle and Servicing values will Drop, it’s a “Ball of Confusion” – TMSpotlight by Les Parker
06-24-2024 Affordability Remains an Obstacle and Servicing values will Drop, it's a "Ball of Confusion" ----------- People selling out, people buying in because of the color of their screens. With the Fed listening to Bonds and data, look for 30-year mortgage rates to stay below 7.75 and reach 6% by yearend while the 10-yield falls below … [Read more...]
Profitability challenges amid NAR settlement, and the Future of Real Estate Commissions and Other Industry Updates!
Show notes: TMSpotlight: 7.1.24 Segmentation, disinflation, pro-inflation; obligation, "Ball of Confusion" ----------- People selling out, people buying in because of the color of their screens. With the Fed listening to Bonds and data, look for 30-year mortgage rates to stay below 7.75 and reach 6% by yearend while the 10-yield … [Read more...]
FHFA approval on Second Mortgage, Bond Market and Other Industry Updates!
Show notes: TMSpotlight: 06-24-2024 Affordability Remains an Obstacle and Servicing values will Drop, it's a "Ball of Confusion" ----------- People selling out, people buying in because of the color of their screens. With the Fed listening to Bonds and data, look for 30-year mortgage rates to stay below 7.75 and reach 6% by yearend … [Read more...]
Bond “Barracuda” – TMSpotlight by Les Parker
06-17-2024 Bond "Barracuda" ------------------ Bears, this is the end; Bulls rise up again - to reign They had to take the trend away. Bond barracuda kept the Fed in line, resulting in a new bull market. Long-term, look for the 10-year yield to stay below 5% and mortgage rates below 7.75. Imagine a sub-6% 30-year mortgage rate by yearend … [Read more...]
Inflation, Interest Rates, and Political Turbulence: Expert Insights on Market Trends and Other Industry Updates!
Show notes: TMSpotlight: 06-17-2024 Bond "Barracuda"------------------Bears, this is the end; Bulls rise up again - to reignThey had to take the trend away. Bond barracuda kept the Fed in line, resulting in a new bull market. Long-term, look for the 10-year yield to stay below 5% and mortgage rates below 7.75. Imagine a sub-6% 30-year … [Read more...]
Is Data “Tutti” or “Fruiti”? – TMSpotlight by Les Parker
06-10-2024 Is Data "Tutti" or "Fruiti"? ------------------------- “Little Richard, what about the data-sensitive market?” Tutti Frutti, go uppie. Tutti frutti, go downie. Tutti Frutti, go uppie. How many angels can dance on the head of a pin? About half. Yet traders keep dancing with every datum as if it changes the world while keeping prices … [Read more...]
“Suite: Judy Blue Eyes” Hesitation, Higher Yields, or More Interest. Hard Choices – TMSpotlight by Les Parker
06-03-2024 "Suite: Judy Blue Eyes" Hesitation, Higher Yields, or More Interest. Hard Choices. -------------------------- It's getting to the point, Jay is no fun anymore. He is sorry. Recent Treasury auctions show investor hesitation to buy. Do they expect higher yields? The low appetite, coupled with the higher-for-longer Fed policy, will … [Read more...]
The Fed Leaves US “Right Where You Left Me” – TMSpotlight by Les Parker
05-27-2024 The Fed Leaves US "Right Where You Left Me" ---------------- Links break up, links get married. Cycles get born, cycles get buried. Trends change, rumors fly through new lies, (with-TS only) Screens Right Where You Left them. The Fed minutes underscored its “higher for longer” outlook, resulting in a flattening yield curve and a … [Read more...]
CFPB Ruling on Non-Bank Entities, Importance of Customer Service, Blockchain in Mortgage and Other Industry Updates!
Show notes: TMSpotlight: 06-10-2024 Is Data "Tutti" or "Fruiti"? ------------------------- “Little Richard, what about the data-sensitive market?” Tutti Frutti, go uppie. Tutti frutti, go downie. Tutti Frutti, go uppie. How many angels can dance on the head of a pin? About half. Yet traders keep dancing with every datum as if it changes … [Read more...]
Countries In Recession Won’t Be “Lonely Boy” – TMSpotlight by Les Parker
05-20-2024 Countries In Recession Won't Be "Lonely Boy" ------------------------- Any old report keeps us waiting. Waiting, waiting. Powell’s a Lonely Boy, He’s a Lonely Boy. Oh, Powell, you are the love that keeps us waiting. The latest tame inflation dropped rates. Many expected a strong report that would have pushed rates significantly … [Read more...]
- Prev Page...
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 4
- …
- 63
- ...Next Page