04-15-2024 “Everybody’s Talking At Me” Bears Listen to the “Conflict Conversation”
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Everybody’s Talkin’ at Bonds.
They don’t hear a word they’re sayin’
Only the echoes of bears’ minds.
The US, king of deficit-spending, continues to see sticky inflation, with the long-term expectation at 3%. Meanwhile, its dependent prince, the EU, sees slipping wages and inflation. So, the ECB is expected to ease in June.
Unless the conflict in Gaza becomes an overt war between Iran and Israel, the bears can reach 5.25 in the 10-year yield. Conversely, the hope to go below 4% lies in a global recession and liquidity troubles. For now, the bears are:
Skipping over the Fed’s ease like a stone.
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Song: Everybody’s Talkin’ (1966) Fred Neil
Les Parker, CMB
Former senior vice president of a national technology and service company.
Les Parker is the Managing Director at Transformational Mortgage Solutions Advisory Board Member for Ainsworth Advisors; and has served as the Senior Vice President of Industry Relations and Consulting at LoanLogics, a technology and services provider focused on improving mortgage loan quality, performance, and reliability throughout the loan life-cycle. His responsibilities included managing the company’s life of loan analytics and monitoring capabilities, overseeing consulting services, contributing to the strategic planning team, and communicating with industry leaders to develop and maintain positive relationships. He focused on identifying threats and strategic opportunities.
Parker has executive mortgage banking experience in capital markets, servicing, operations, production, and financial management. Parker has served as director of the largest private issuer of CMOS. His educational background covers music, religious studies, mortgage banking, mathematics, and business administration. Parker holds a BBA in Finance, and other degrees, and has held numerous securities licenses. Parker is a Master Certified Mortgage Banker, a designation conferred by the Mortgage Bankers Association. Parker writes, speaks, and provides audio content, Since the late 1980s, he publishes a daily newsletter connecting global macroeconomics to the US interest rate movement.