10-28-2024 The Great "Hello Walls" of China
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Hello, Walls. (hello) How'd rates go for Bears today?
The Bond bears continued to ride the speculation that China will meet stimulus expectations. What happens when it misses?
When China's package falls woefully short, expect a significant short cover rally in US Treasuries, with mortgage rates reaching 6% by year's end. The inflation outlook will improve if the US elects pro-growth and supply-side policies. However, the driver to reverse the recent rate rise comes from China's woes.
I gotta feelin' China's gone a long, long time.
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Song: Hello Walls (1961)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Iq0_ub_aHM
Les Parker, CMB Managing Director, Transformational Mortgage Solutions
Les Parker is the Managing Director at Transformational Mortgage Solutions Advisory Board Member for Ainsworth Advisors; and has served as the Senior Vice President of Industry Relations and Consulting at LoanLogics, a technology and services provider focused on improving mortgage loan quality, performance, and reliability throughout the loan life-cycle. His responsibilities included managing the company’s life of loan analytics and monitoring capabilities, overseeing consulting services, contributing to the strategic planning team, and communicating with industry leaders to develop and maintain positive relationships. He focused on identifying threats and strategic opportunities.
Parker has executive mortgage banking experience in capital markets, servicing, operations, production, and financial management. Parker has served as director of the largest private issuer of CMOS. His educational background covers music, religious studies, mortgage banking, mathematics, and business administration. Parker holds a BBA in Finance, and other degrees, and has held numerous securities licenses. Parker is a Master Certified Mortgage Banker, a designation conferred by the Mortgage Bankers Association. Parker writes, speaks, and provides audio content, Since the late 1980s, he publishes a daily newsletter connecting global macroeconomics to the US interest rate movement.