04-28-2025 Euphoria And Dysphoria Making You “Dizzy?”
—————
Dizzy. We’re so dizzy. Markets are spinning, Like a whirlpool that never ends.
Contradictions fight any trend narrative except when there is short-term euphoria or dysphoria. However, with volatile volatility, technical indicators have become less reliable. Most hedging methods can work two-thirds of the time, but beware of the other third.
Will the bullish Five and Ten-year futures reverse bearish mortgages from their overreaction to global political rhetoric? Persistently elevated volatility means a 25-bps move can happen fast.
And its yield spreads, making it spin
They’re making trends dizzy.
—————–
Song: Dizzy (1969) Tommy Roe
Les Parker, CMB Managing Director, Transformational Mortgage Solutions
Les Parker is the Managing Director at Transformational Mortgage Solutions Advisory Board Member for Ainsworth Advisors; and has served as the Senior Vice President of Industry Relations and Consulting at LoanLogics, a technology and services provider focused on improving mortgage loan quality, performance, and reliability throughout the loan life-cycle. His responsibilities included managing the company’s life of loan analytics and monitoring capabilities, overseeing consulting services, contributing to the strategic planning team, and communicating with industry leaders to develop and maintain positive relationships. He focused on identifying threats and strategic opportunities. Parker has executive mortgage banking experience in capital markets, servicing, operations, production, and financial management. Parker has served as director of the largest private issuer of CMOS. His educational background covers music, religious studies, mortgage banking, mathematics, and business administration. Parker holds a BBA in Finance, and other degrees, and has held numerous securities licenses. Parker is a Master Certified Mortgage Banker, a designation conferred by the Mortgage Bankers Association. Parker writes, speaks, and provides audio content, Since the late 1980s, he publishes a daily newsletter connecting global macroeconomics to the US interest rate movement.