12-30-2025 Even Modelers Will Make “A Mistake”
———————
They’re gonna make a mistake
They’re gonna do it on purpose
Does it waste our time?
We all make mistakes. Modelers intentionally make mistakes to test scenarios and reveal truths not shown in official government statistics. Alternative data and models highlight the value of learning through trial and error and transparency.
The absence of the government spoon-feeding the Fed revealed the shadow modelers to a broader audience. They can gain insight sooner by making mistakes. Markets developed quite a taste…
…for a well-made Mistake. They wanna make A Mistake. Why can’t we make A Mistake?
These views are mine. Learn from mistakes at TMSpotlight.com.
——————————
Song: A Mistake (1999) Fiona Apple
Les Parker, CMB Managing Director, Transformational Mortgage Solutions
Les Parker is the Managing Director at Transformational Mortgage Solutions Advisory Board Member for Ainsworth Advisors; and has served as the Senior Vice President of Industry Relations and Consulting at LoanLogics, a technology and services provider focused on improving mortgage loan quality, performance, and reliability throughout the loan life-cycle. His responsibilities included managing the company’s life of loan analytics and monitoring capabilities, overseeing consulting services, contributing to the strategic planning team, and communicating with industry leaders to develop and maintain positive relationships. He focused on identifying threats and strategic opportunities. Parker has executive mortgage banking experience in capital markets, servicing, operations, production, and financial management. Parker has served as director of the largest private issuer of CMOS. His educational background covers music, religious studies, mortgage banking, mathematics, and business administration. Parker holds a BBA in Finance, and other degrees, and has held numerous securities licenses. Parker is a Master Certified Mortgage Banker, a designation conferred by the Mortgage Bankers Association. Parker writes, speaks, and provides audio content, Since the late 1980s, he publishes a daily newsletter connecting global macroeconomics to the US interest rate movement.