11-04-2025 Rates Down Time To “Paint it Black”
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Bonds see a red stat, and they want it painted black. No colors from gurus, Bonds want them to turn black.
With lenders subsidizing mortgage rates, our target of 6.125% was reached, while the 10-year yield touched 3.94%. Our bull target remains the same at 3.80 in the 10-year yield.
The declining chance of a Dec Fed cut, tame tariffs, and fiscal discipline fuel long rates downward after the mild correction ends. A move back to 6.125% in the 30-year mortgage rates will coincide with the 10-year reaching 3.80%.
Bonds have to turn their head.
Until their darkness goes.
These views are mine. Find out who’s painting black at TMSpotlight.com.
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Song: Paint It Black (1966) The Rolling Stones
Les Parker, CMB Managing Director, Transformational Mortgage Solutions
Les Parker is the Managing Director at Transformational Mortgage Solutions Advisory Board Member for Ainsworth Advisors; and has served as the Senior Vice President of Industry Relations and Consulting at LoanLogics, a technology and services provider focused on improving mortgage loan quality, performance, and reliability throughout the loan life-cycle. His responsibilities included managing the company’s life of loan analytics and monitoring capabilities, overseeing consulting services, contributing to the strategic planning team, and communicating with industry leaders to develop and maintain positive relationships. He focused on identifying threats and strategic opportunities. Parker has executive mortgage banking experience in capital markets, servicing, operations, production, and financial management. Parker has served as director of the largest private issuer of CMOS. His educational background covers music, religious studies, mortgage banking, mathematics, and business administration. Parker holds a BBA in Finance, and other degrees, and has held numerous securities licenses. Parker is a Master Certified Mortgage Banker, a designation conferred by the Mortgage Bankers Association. Parker writes, speaks, and provides audio content, Since the late 1980s, he publishes a daily newsletter connecting global macroeconomics to the US interest rate movement.