Show notes:
TMSpotlight:
09-30-2024 Does “New Dawn Fade” For Fed?
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A change of ease, a change of spreads. A change of speed, with no regrets.
Will the Fed’s New Dawn Fade with the Dollar as the perpetual reserve currency and no economic landings? That is, a stable US economy with 3% growth, 3% inflation, and no more than 6% unemployment, all because the Fed changes the tuners with no regret.
Spreads among various durations and currencies shift because fewer players expect the Fed to “ease fast and soon.”
Who’s hoping for something more
When the Fed goes wrong.
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Song: New Dawn Fades (1978) Moby cover from The Equalizer. The songwriter, Ian Curtis, committed suicide shortly after releasing the song driven by his epilepsy and substance abuse.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aSW4YP1lnB8